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B2B Sales Forecasting Tips

October 29, 2017 Jeremey Donovan

On Dec 8, I attended Bowery Capital’s excellent Sales Summit 2016. Larry D’Angelo, SVP of Sales at LogMeIn, kicked things off by sharing his best practices for B2B sales forecasting.

The biggest takeaway: Ask prospects directly if you are winning. “If no one says you are winning, then you are losing”

Here are my detailed notes on his process:

  1. Train managers first then AEs on a standard, best-practice questioning methodology (QM) for pipeline management
    • Discovery
    • Qualify: BANT + process + competition + scope
      • BANT
        • B: Do they have the budget? Is it approved?
        • A: Who has to say yes to this purchase? Who can say no?
        • N: Did the customer say we can meet their needs? Do they want to buy our product?
        • T: Whey will they buy? Why? What compelling event did you create? What if they do nothing – what bad thing happens?
      • Process: What are the approval, buying, and legal processes? (they are different)
      • Competition: Is the customer looking at other solutions? If so, where do you stand?
    • Analyze: Evaluation criteria/process; Decision-making process; reconfirm BANT+C (checkbox)
    • Evaluate: Initial pricing sent; Prospect confirmed we are winning (checkbox; “Help me understand which way you are leaning?”); legal & purchasing process; evaluation outcomes
    • Negotiation: negotiation & price; hurdles to close?
    • Sale Pending: details & references; timelines for signature and payment; use cases
  2. Embed pipeline management into CRM opportunities (instead of having AEs select stages and/or probabilities)
    • Most, if not all, fields should be textboxes for notes rather than checkboxes
    • Base on client actions (not AE actions) and on information shared by prospect (not AE opinion)
    • Keep as simple as possible; fields exist for the benefit of AEs to close deals, not solely for management inspection
  3. “The Science”: Algorithmically determine probabilities based on pipeline management field completion of previously won & lost deals
  4. “The Art”: Build the forecast deal by deal
    • Do not just rely on the aggregate weighted pipeline
    • Managers should start by asking:
      • (a) Why should the prospect buy anything?
      • (b) Why should they buy now? What bad thing will happen if they don’t take action?
      • (c) Why should they buy our product? Which of our key differentiators has the prospect locked on to?
    • Then ask, “Are we winning, losing, or are you unsure?”
    • If the answer is anything other than winning, then the deal should not be included in the forecast for the quarter

One later speaker, Steve Hirschfeld of Medidata, added a good additional point on improving forecast outcomes: make introductions between your execs and the prospects execs.

Finally, (unrelated to forecasting), Kristen Habacht of Trello stressed the following:

  • Specialize – SDRs –> hunters + solutions engineers –> account managers + CSMs
  • Build your sales operations function early
  • When hiring, audition candidates by having them pitch your product to you (give them a deck to prep with a couple days in advance; however, Kristen has found that the best hires do not “pitch” using a deck)
  • Create a clear progression/promotion path for people with an expected timeframe

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